jodyb.net & geeky stick boy

Jodyb.net (2k7): Just Another Website?

Probably. The site does, however, consistently rank in the top 10 million of most viewed websites in the world.

The site was originally created as a way to keep my 'bookmark' file manageable (see "Links") and as a way to vent some creativity. Over the years it has become more than that: A place for my professional materials, stories about my wife and I, and the official web home of Geeky Stick Boy (offered as a public service).

This site is best viewed however you want! It is made with 94% image-free paper, which means no waiting for show-off fancy graphics. You do NOT need the latest version of Explorer or Navigator, nor do you have to change your screen resolution. No Flash Media, Shockwave, RealPlayer, or any other plug-ins required.

If you got here via a search looking for a particular page, I apologize. The links & other page is filled with various links. The personal section is about my wife and I. The professional page is related to teaching political science. Geeky Stick Boy speaks for itself.

The 2012 Election Forecast by the Spring 2012 "Campaigns & Elections" (POLS 3037) Class at East Carolina University

The method is simple. Because presidential elections are decided on a per-state basis, the first thing we do is assign each student a state. Then, the student finds and records election data for that state (which party won, and by how much) for elections in the past 10-20 years (presidential, congressional, gubernatorial, state legislatures). Based on trends identified in these data, as well as what others are saying, the student then makes a prediction. After each state is done the Electoral College votes won by each party are totaled to get our prediction. Try it Yourself

Result: The Winner, Barack Obama

Party Total Electoral College Votes Won
Democrats289
Republicans216
To Close to Call33

State-by-State Breakdown (with Analyses)
State ECV Winner Analyst (with link to analysis)
Alabama9RepublicanZachary Wilkinson
Alaska3RepublicanChristopher Womack
Arizona11RepublicanKyle Brown
Arkansas6RepublicanZachary Dill
California55Democrat(no analysis)
Colorado9DemocratAdam Lewis
Connecticut7DemocratJay Hitselberger
Delaware3DemocratFara Coppol
Florida29(too close to call)Fara Coppol (Dem.) & William Frizzell (Rep.)
Georgia16RepublicanChelsea Roach
Hawaii4DemocratJason Kops
Idaho4Republican(no analysis)
Illinois20DemocratSheldon Silver
Indiana11RepublicanOrren Ward
Iowa6RepublicanJason Kops
Kansas6RepublicanShelby Smith
Kentucky8RepublicanKaitlyn Wallace
Louisiana8RepublicanCameron Holton
Maine4DemocratCivanna Hoffman
Maryland10DemocratCivanna Hoffman
Massachusetts11Democrat(no analysis)
Michigan16DemocratLane Bray
Minnesota10DemocratDavid Dutton
Mississippi6Republican(no analysis)
Missouri10RepublicanNikki Pimobino
Montana3RepublicanLaura Iheanachor
Nebraska5RepublicanShelby Smith
Nevada6RepublicanLaura Mitterling
New Hampshire4(too close to call)Nikki Piombino (Rep.) & Chris Womack (Dem.)
New Jersey14DemocratChelsea Roach
New Mexico5DemocratAndres Rengifo
New York29DemocratSheldon Silver
North Carolina15DemocratKerri Banning & Orren Ward
North Dakota3RepublicanAdam Lewis & Catherine Murphy
Ohio18DemocratKyle Brown
Oklahoma7RepublicanZachary Wilkinson
Oregon7DemocratJay Hitselberger
Pennsylvania20DemocratLaura Iheanachor
Rhode Island4DemocratAndres Rengifo
South Carolina9RepublicanCameron Holton
South Dakota3RepublicanCatherine Murphy & William Frizzell
Tennessee11RepublicanLane Bray
Texas38Republican(no analysis)
Utah6Republican(no analysis)
Vermont3DemocratKaitlyn Wallace
Virginia13Republican(no analysis)
Washington12DemocratLaura Mitterling
Washington, D.C.3Democrat(no analysis)
West Virginia5RepublicanZachary Dill
Wisconsin10DemocratKerri Banning
Wyoming3RepublicanDavid Dutton

ANNOUNCING
.: Our NEW Daughter, Alicia Shen Baumgartner (b. 23 July, 2010) :.

[Anna's Pictures are HERE]